With the culmination of the European Championship Qualifiers, we have some lower league English football at our disposal, and with three good priced bets on over 2.5 goals, can the weekend be a little brighter? We will see!
Swindon Vs Peterborough
New boss Graham Westley is in his fourth game in charge as Posh travel to the County Ground where they entertain Swindon. Swindon is experiencing a downward spiral since their last win on September 5th picking up just one point from the last five games. Peterborough since sacking Dave Robertson have suffered one defeat and with the new direction of Westley have continued in their trend of netting goals.
Peterborough have one of the best statistics for goals in their matches with a whopping 64% of all their games registering three or more in total. Swindon comparably hold favourable percentages in the same category, which breeds confidence in this game.
With the direction Swindon have got themselves into, Peterborough has not failed to net at least two goals in the last three, whereas Swindon’s scoring record is less impressive than the visitors netting in three of the last six, which three of these saw three or more goals. If Westley sets up similar to his other games in charge thus far we could expect an early goal in the tie which should set the presence of the game, where Peterborough should continue the style we have been used to for several seasons, which is open style play!
Over 2.5 goals – 1.73 at SkyBet
Aldershot Vs Altrincham
The shots were on the TV cameras on Wednesday night and although they did not score, they were vulnerable at the back, with Forest Green pocketing the game 3-0. Aldershot are the bookies favourites in this tie where the visitors are just four places below them.
Both sides have strong records on seeing no less than one goal in their games, with Aldershot on a whopping 73% of their matches with three or more in the game compared to the visitors 53% overall.
I am fairly confident the shots will have learned a lesson or two from Wednesday’s defeat with Barry Smith boss of Aldershot admitting the goals conceded were basic defensive errors and disorganisation of their man to man marking. The hosts will need to be careful they do not fall foul of similar mistakes when Altrincham come to town.
Visioning end to end action is the way this game will go, and would not be surprised if this game is sealed up before the final third at a potential goal feast.
Over 2.5 goals – Best price 1.92 with 888sport
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Forest Green Vs Guiseley
After a pleasing win for the hosts on TV Wednesday night, Forest Green host Guiseley, where the hosts aim to maintain their excellent start at the top of the Conference. The visitors have kept their games to some narrow results but have struggled to net in their recent games.
Forest Green’s assistant coach Jamie Day was quoted in saying that the side need to be more ruthless to get the right results after Wednesday’s encounter. Day continued by saying his players took the chances they did get to add to the scoresheet. Five of the last seven for the hosts at home have passed the goal line with a hungry attack at their disposal with Joe Parking, Kurtis Guthrie and Aaron O’Connor. Failing to net just once, this could be another comfortable win for the hosts as they look to make a statement to their home fans.
The newly promoted visitors were well beaten in their last encounter to Macclesfield and could get lucky if the hosts fail to display the ruthless nature that management want the side to demonstrate moving forward.
The odds imply a slight lean towards a goals game, and I am not swayed by the stats on the visitors, as the home side need to develop a strong reputation at home, and can make more misery for the visitors come full time on Saturday.
Over 2.5 goals – 1.85
Bet Summary:
Swindon/Peterborough – over 2.5 goals
Aldershot/Altrincham – over 2.5 goals
Forest Green/Guiseley – over 2.5 goals
The treble pays a tasty £59.80
