Last week we had a 7/1 winner with Paddy Power with our games at QPR, Barnsley and Barnet and have identified three more games this week to attempt to repeat our success!
We have taken into account that a few of the fixtures may be seen as dead rubber games, where mid-table sides have nothing much more to contribute this season other than pride. This week’s best priced treble will generate over 5/1 with most major firms including SkyBet.
Newcastle Vs Swansea
Some great stats support this bet, and despite this compilers still favour the unders line on this game despite what is on offer for the hosts.
Toon are certainly up against it to close the six-point deficit with the final six games, time is running thin, a bit like a car running with the fuel light on! Benitez’s Newcastle faces a Swansea side securing another season in the top flight sitting firmly on the forty-point barrier. Recent games for Newcastle have seen a fight with goals in all of the last three, showing signs of a revival.
Without a win in the last seven, psychologically the hosts will find each proceeding game increasingly difficult and come up against a Swansea side with four wins in the last six, which has secured safety.
Newcastle has conceded in each of their last seven games and at least one goal in a dozen from fifteen at St James’ Park. Swansea City this term has resulted in scoring at least one goal in each of their last seven games.
To Newcastle’s comfort Swansea City conceded at least one goal in all but one of their away games and also that three-quarters of Toon’s points has been earned at home this term. The previous head to heads has seen two from the last three with three or more goals. Although the reverse fixture was a win to nil for the Swans, Francesco Guidolin’s Swansea has developed a fresher style of football since his arrival in January.
Benitez suggested midweek that anxiety was killing the dressing room spirit and need inspiration from somewhere. Could hotshots Wijnaldum, Mitrovic or Perez provide a solution with twenty-three goals between them this term?
With both sides having goals in them, with all of the last four for Swansea heading over and two from four at Tyneside, with a general view of 11/10-6/5 on goals in this one is surely a better play that the 4/6 this plays out to a low scorer.
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals – 11/10 SkyBet
Brentford Vs Bristol City
Lee Johnson’s Bristol City will make the trip across the M4 to Griffin Park, where his men will take on Dean Smith’s Brentford where a result will almost mathematically certify their position in the Championship next term.
Brentford come into this with three wins on the spin, with The Robin’s with patchier form in comparison. City has certainly rattled the goals in, with an impressive 4-1 over promotion chasing Owls and has averaged two goals a game scored in the last eight.
The only previous meeting saw the hosts win this by 4-2 and can look at securing the double with an inform performance. Johnson’s men though are no pushovers with dominant displays in recent games and with the hosts conceding in four of twenty at Griffin Park, City have demonstrated goals with surely enough to see this fall over the line this weekend.
Lasse Vibe will be looking to add to his dozen netted this season and with Jonathan Kodjia looking to add to his tally of sixteen this term, both sides have plenty of firepower, and endeavour this will be another game with goals in the making.
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals – 4/5 SkyBet
Colchester Vs Peterborough
Will Posh make The Oysters task in League one’s life questionable as they look to close the seven point deficit? Kevin Keen’s men have managed to pocket fourteen from the last twenty-four showing a real sign that their fight is not over this season.
Colchester’s season can be concluded that they have shipped a fair few more than they have netted. However, they have netted fifty-two this term compared to free-scoring Posh’s tally of sixty-nine. Both sides sit in the bottom four for the defensive side of conceding goals, so on the basis that the trend continues, goals will happen?
The past two seasons has seen three games, two of which have seen three or more goals including the reverse fixture.
Although Colchester’s games in the last three have dried up, they are unbeaten in this period, whereas Graham Westley’s men are looking to overturn two defeats on the spin. Although Keen’s men have resulted in three successive clean sheets, the open style of Peterborough, who has netted in seven from the last eight, clearly demonstrates they have the resilience to reactive styles of football.
You might think what have posh got left to play for? The answer in my opinion is for the side to play for pride and close out the season where some player’s contracts will be up for renewal, and Westley being the shrewd man he is, will have an eye on whom he has in mind to bring in as they rebuild next term.
Westley will be sending his side out with Hotshots Maddison and Angol with Jon Taylor all fighting for the golden boot honours within the club this term. Colchester will need to rely on Moncur for goals to add to the eleven tallied this season.
Kevin Keen has turned Colchester around, and could be a tightly contested game. I do think both will score, and inevitably will need to chase a winning goal, so this could be a goal feast!
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals – 4/6 SkyBet
