After yet another winning weekend, I’m back with a Saturday-only BTTS treble for your consideration. As is always the case, the prices are short when both teams need the points in end of season games, but good luck and only ever bet what you can afford to lose.
Hannover v Freiburg
Last weekend, Hannover increased their chances of Bundesliga survival by winning 2-1 away to Augsburg, but fourth from bottom going into the final round of Bundesliga matches, they need to win again or pray that other results work in their favour.
Freiburg have the best goal difference of the teams in and around the relegation zone, but sit just above Hannover in the German top-flight standings with the same number of points. In their last match, Freiburg defeated Bayern Munich 2-1.
So, all in all, it’s a slightly more desperate situation for the home team, but with five of Freiburg’s last six games resulting in both teams scoring for an 83.3% BTTS Yes strike rate, five of Hannover’s last six the same, all six of Hannover’s last six home games seeing both teams score (100%) and five straight BTTS Yes games head-to-head between these two, I expect both teams to score in Hannover on Saturday.
BTTS Yes @ 11/20 with BetVictor
Genoa v Inter Milan
While it’s true that UEFA have denied Genoa a license to compete in the Europa League next season due to paperwork not being completed on time, and a stadium that needs upgrading, the Italian club hope to have this verdict overturned and didn’t play like their season was over when winning 4-1 away to Atalanta last weekend.
Indeed, Genoa leapfrogged rivals Sampdoria to move into sixth place in the Serie A standings, and currently occupy the Europa League qualifying berth, so they shouldn’t be giving up this weekend with local pride a factor, if nothing else.
Inter, meanwhile, took the lead but eventually lost 2-1 at home to Juventus last Saturday and Mancini’s boys are now four points behind their hosts, but with two games to play and Genoa possibly banned from Europe next season, still have reason to try.
Now, the last two Genoa home games have seen both teams score, along with an impressive five of their last six overall for an 83.3% BTTS Yes strike rate, whilst the reverse fixture with Inter also saw each team bag at least one goal apiece.
Inter have a 66.7% BTTS Yes strike rate, home, away and overall in their last six games in each category and while that’s not the most impressive set of stats I’ll ever reel off, I expect them to improve on Saturday.
BTTS Yes @ 4/9 with BetVictor
Malaga v Sevilla
Malaga lost 2-1 away to Villarreal last weekend, which reduced their chances of Europa League football in 2015/16, but the Anchovies can still qualify for UEFA’s secondary tournament if Valencia finish fourth and Sevilla win the Europa League.
Such an outcome would mean that the seventh best team, which is currently Athletic Bilbao, would be given Sevilla’s Europa League slot. However, Athletic are already guaranteed Europa League football next season because they face Barca in the Copa del Rey final and the Catalans, of course, will feature in the 2015/16 Champions League as La Liga winners.
Speaking of Sevilla, they came from a goal down to beat Almeria 2-1 at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in their last fixture and have seen both teams score in five of their last six games for an 83.3% BTTS Yes strike rate, plus 5/6 away for the same percentage.
Now, although Sevilla look most likely to qualify for the UCL by winning the Europa, they’re only a point behind Valencia and therefore have everything to play for at La Rosaleda on Saturday.
Mix all of this with five of Malaga’s last six home games resulting in both teams scoring and five of their last six overall for an 83.3% BTTS Yes strike rate and you have to conclude that this is a worthy addition to the acca.
BTTS Yes @ 2/5 with BetVictor
