After completing my both teams to score treble for tonight I had a little time on my hands and decided to do some extra research on a few games and see if there was anything showing value as a single bet.. Luckily enough I bumped into something I liked pretty quickly and think I’ve found a couple of solid bets tonight that need sharing on site.
The FA Cup replays are a nice betting medium because we have a very recent match that we can can study, and work out what’s going to happen in the decider (hopefully). Here are my tips for Tuesday 14th Jan:
Peterborough v Kidderminster
Looking at bare form you’d probably not want to touch Peterborough, and that’s fair enough. They’ve lost 4 games on the bounce in League 1 and were held to a 0-0 draw by Conference side Kidderminster 10 days ago. Not the greatest start to 2014 for Darren Ferguson’s side.
Looking at the inplay match stats from the original tie tells me a couple of things. Firstly they took their opposition for granted and didn’t pay them enough respect. In the first half of the game at Aggborough, Kidderminster more than held their own and also hit the woodwork.
Peterborough were limited to just 3 shots off target in the opening 45 minutes and just didn’t perform. However that all changed after the break. The Posh got 17 shots away in the second half which included 3 hitting the woodwork. They dominated proceedings but couldn’t find the back of the net.
Now they’ve got the advantage of knowing exactly what they’re up against I think they’ll comfortably beat their non league opponents. Speaking after the first game, manager Darren Ferguson said “Kidderminster have changed their manager and had a good win on Saturday and they will be looking forward to coming to London Road. We felt we did enough to win the game at Aggborough and we are determined to progress into the next round.”
As above, Kidderminster now have a new manager in the shape of Andy Thorn. He made an impressive start to his new job by beating Salisbury on Saturday, a win which took Kidderminster up to 4th position in the Conference. However, I just don’t think they have enough in their locker to beat Peterborough at London Road.
The Posh will miss striker Lee Tomlin (17 games 4 goals) tonight due to suspension after a red card, but Hogan Ephraim will return after serving his ban and mainstay defender Kgose Ntlhe (20 games 1 goal) returns after a virus.
I simply can’t see past a home win here. They are around 1.55 for the straight win, which I wouldn’t put people off of backing, but I’m advising a bet on the -1 asian handicap at 1.88 with Unibet. I’m happy to take a refund if Peterborough win by just the 1 goal. I can see it being 2 or 3 though.
Brackley v Barrow
Conference North – 7.45pm
Advised Bet: Brackley -1 asian handicap – 1.85
I rate Brackley a good bet to cover the handicap tonight. They sit in 6th position in the Conference South, and a win this evening will lift them into the play-off places. Opponents Barrow occupy 19th place, just 2 points clear of the relegation zone.
The home side returned to form on Saturday with a 3-1 win over Gainsborough Trinity after a period of 4 games without a win, and the big change here was the signing of striker Stefan Moore from Leamington. The ex Aston Villa and QPR hitman scored twice on his debut and was a constant threat against a mid table side. Barrow are likely to struggle to contain him.
The visitors will be pleased with their current run of form which has seen them pick up 10 points in their last 4 games, but their wins have come against struggling teams well below the standard of Brackley.
This will be just Brackley’s third game in front of home fans in over 7 weeks after a spell of 7 successive road games, and they’ll be determined to give fans more of what they gave them at the weekend. I’m very confident of this one.
