Prices have already fallen since the start of the week and will continue to. Disappointing as I had more units on selections before…
Bristol Rovers v Chester
4/10 Bristol Rovers -1Ah 1.90
The three horse race for the Conference title very much involves Bristol Rovers and the Pirates would not have been too dismayed at the 0-0 away to Macclesfield last Saturday, however at home maximum points is a necessity.
Rovers have a terrific record, especially at home where theirs is the best in the league having won 14 of their 20 games. At the crunch end of the season and with a squad as good as any other; I am backing Rovers in every remaining home tie.
Last weekend Chester lost 3-2 to a Woking wonder goal at home and despite it being a close enough game, Chester appeared to be a side looking forward to their holidays as they sit in midtable with very little to play for.
The North West side have gone four games without a win and that was against a struggling Torquay. I fully expect Bristol Rovers and the likes of Jermaine Easter to take full advantage.
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Forest Green v Aldershot
4/10 Forest Green -0.75ah 1.78
Forest Green have been mightily impressive in 2014 and a Play Off place is very much in their hands. Here at home they face Aldershot who have had an incredibly average season, with their safety secured and a midtable position to hope for at best, they do not have the motivation of some of the other sides in the league.
The Shots haven’t won for five games where they beat Dover 1-0 and they are ready and set for the end of the season. Forest Green are a side you cannot rule out for promotion via the Play Offs, they have had a great second half of the season and have dispatched of Barnet and Grimsby in past few months.
Jon Parkin has been the best striker in the league since the New Year, so expect him to add to his tally this weekend. Last weekend they comfortable despatched Lincoln 2-1 away from home. Confidence is high.
Telford v Kidderminster
1/10 Telford +0.5ah 1.83
Kidderminster may have won comfortably last weekend at home to Braintree but this was a flash in the plan compared to recent form and the cash strapped club are looking at a whole host of changes in the summer. The feel around the club is not great and the season could not end quicker.
Sat in midtable, Kidderminster had lost four games in a row before Braintree visited and barring Eastleigh three of these defeats (Torquay, Alfreton, and Dover) were against average sides.
Telford are relegated but have a young enough squad to return and come back stronger. Telford do not get thrashed too often and give most sides a good game. I think we have some value here.
Telford narrowly lost away to Dover 1-0 last time out and deserved more. Previous to that they travelled to Braintree and won 2-0. Telford have only lost by two goals or more on two occasions in 2015 and these were against Play Off hopefuls Woking and Forest Green- here against Kiddy they have a good chance of taking at least a point.
Eastleigh v Dover
5/10 Eastleigh -0.5ah 2.15
Eastleigh need points to get that all important Play Off spot. Dover on the other hand are finishing the season relaxed with little to play for. Dover also have had a lot less rest after making the long trip to Wrexham on Tuesday night to play out a 1-1 draw, in which they were the second best side on the night.
A much shorter travel against motivated opposition is unlikely to yield much of a result. Eastleigh are another side who have improved in recent months and have inflicted defeats on some of the best teams in the division including Bristol Rovers and Macclesfield Last weekend they travelled to Gateshead and knocked them out of the Play Off hunt in a convincing 3-2 victory.
It is a vital time of the season and Eastleigh need the points on the board and have perfect opportunity against an unmotivated Dover side.
Grimsby v Gateshead 8/10
Grimsby -0.5ah 1.80
Along with a Macclesfield win earlier in the year this is my largest stake of the season.
On current form Grimsby are the best side in the division right now and face an utterly depleted Gateshead. On Tuesday Gateshead threw away their last hopes of the play offs with a 1-1 draw away at struggling Dartford. Gateshead have nothing to play for now with the Play Offs being out of reach and along with their massive injury list and lack of rest from the Tuesday game, I expect them to lose here against the title challengers.
Grimsby have had an excellent March and have been undefeated in their last eight games, having won a mighty seven of these including maximum points against Eastleigh, Woking and Barnet- all teams who are better than Gateshead. Home and away, victories have catapulted them into the race for automatic promotion.
The loan signing of Ollie Palmer has led to a winning run with the big striker being involved in assists and goals. There seems to be no stopping them at present. A huge fan base is following them and a big game at home is likely to draw a large crowd, something the players seem to thriving off. There is no reason to not back them in this tie.
Woking v Welling
5/10 Woking -1ah 1.77
Woking keep in touching distance of the Play Offs and will be looking continue a good run of form. A screamer of a goal last weekend to defeat Chester away from home was another confidence booster and at home they can beat any side.
Four games in a row have ended in Woking wins and at such a vital time in the campaign. At home Woking have lost just once in eight games and that was at the hands of a quality Grimsby side. Woking have more than enough to steal a Play off place but will HAVE to win here to ensure that this target is met.
Welling are as bad anyone in the division in my opinion and since the turn of the year have gone from bad to utterly dreadful after losing manager Jamie Day. Relegation is just a matter of time with Welling being turned into the whipping boys of the division in recent times.
A 2-0 loss at home to Grimsby last week was after a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Barnet. Two sides on similar form to Woking.
Wrexham v Alfreton
1/10 Both Teams To Score 1.85
Wrexham are still recovering from an eventful and negative week at the club. The Welsh side lost on penalties last Sunday to lower league opposition in the FA Trophy Final and then on Monday sacked their manager.
Tuesday they faced Dover at home and played quite well considering the vigour’s of the week and came away with a point which leaves their record for the season 13 wins, 13 draws and 13 defeats from their 39 games. Here against Alfreton who are very much in form it could be a tricky tie and a similar score to Tuesday’s 1-1.
Wrexham certainly don’t seem too disheartened after the week’s events and I expect a goal or two from the Welsh outfit. Alfreton have shot up from relegation candidates to favourites for safety in a vital couple of months which has seen them rack up the points and overtake Welling, going undefeated for seven games currently. The battle is not yet over and just six points separate themselves and the bottom four. Nothing can be taken for granted and I expect Alfreton to be the more motivated of the two.
