Now the international break is over, we resume back to a full coupon and with a tasty set of games, and we hope to find three which will appeal in betting terms applying judged reasoning and game expectation for the 2.5 goals market on Friday.
Bristol City Vs Nottingham Forest
First up is a trip to the Ashton Gate stadium where the Tricky Tree’s Nottingham Forest will look to end their three game streak without a win against the hosts without a win in the last eight.
Both sides have different styles of play, with The Robins firstly, which won promotion last season played a brand of fluid football last season and has not carried forward in the early season with supremacy. Reports suggest that manager Steve Cotterill is confident their style approach will pay dividends again as the season progresses. Nottingham Forest on the other hand under Dougie Freedman tends to play very tight encounters, with no fixture this season seeing them win or lose by more than one goal.
Seeing the way this game may pan out can be seen in one of two ways. We see Forest show up like they have in four of their five away ties and played out a low scoring affair. The other way of seeing this is the hosts playing their open style of football that has caused them to concede at least one in all of their home games, which has led to them without a home win this season and goals resulting.
The stats lean on under three goals here, with Bristol City conceding less than two goals at home in three from five games with Forest netting no more than one in five attempts on the road. At a shade over evens for fewer than three is stats supported, and with Forest’s style, it would not be a surprise.
Bet: Under 2.5 goals – 2.00
Ross County Vs Aberdeen
The League leaders Aberdeen head to the Global Energy Stadium in front of the BT Sport cameras on this Friday night where the Red Army look for their fifth win on the road to build on their excellent start in the SPL although have experienced a recent hiccup on the back of two straight defeats.
The Staggies at home have not drawn a game at home this season and are occupying fifth spot. Both sides have seen plenty of goals in their games thus far, with Ross County games experiencing three or more in three from five and Aberdeen with an identical record on the road. More recently Derek McInnes Aberdeen have seen the last three games end with three or more, with Jim McIntyre’s Ross County’s outcomes landing on at least three in the last two in the SPL.
The stats for this game edge on the right side, but the bookies disagree, opting for fewer than three goals with overs at 11/10 with Paddy Power. With Ross County netting the majority of their goals in the first half, both sides netting home and away respectively, three and more could well be a shade of value.
Bet: Over 2.5 goals – 2.1 at Paddy Power
Mainz Vs Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund look to turn their luck around travelling to the Coface Arena, where the hosts look for a third home win of the season.
Dortmund with their hotshot goal scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will look to cause the spoils although their away record has been fuelled with goals with eighteen goals on the road in just four games. Mainz has been more conservative at home with eleven goals in four games.
In the last six in all competition, both sides have seen four of their six see three or more. Dortmund has had three from four with three or more at home, with the hosts with an identical percentage. I can see this game going all the way, with a potential late goal to see us over the line. The price is short, but adding it with one or both other recommendations will pay in excess of 2/1 or 5/1 for the complete treble.
Bet: Over 2.5 goals – 1.44
Bet Summary:
Bristol City/Nottingham Forest – Under 2.5 goals
Ross County/Aberdeen – Over 2.5 goals
Mainz/B Dortmund – Over 2.5 goals
A £10 stake on the treble above pays a best return of £59.00
